Friday, July 21, 2017

July 21 Tornado Fest In Saskatchewan

Here is a quick post of as many tornadoes as reported via Twitter and Facebook. I expect much more will filter in over the next 24 hours and I will add them here. Peter Quinlan has a few more tornado videos on his timeline and you can check them out at this link: https://twitter.com/PQuinlanGlobal

Foam Lake





Leroy






Fishing Lake





Wapella




Location Unknown








Monday, July 17, 2017

Saskatoon Gets A Close Shave

Sunday afternoon, July 16, 2017 storm energy was high across much of the province of Saskatchewan and tornadic potential was imminent. The 7am thunderstorm outlook issued by PASPC indicated a huge area to watch for strong storms across central Saskatchewan.



By 2pm it became clear that the risk had shifted well west of the original area of east central Saskatchewan as a massive supercell cluster had become severe thunderstorm warned in the Meadow Lake region. One lonely cell appeared west of Biggar at 2:10pm in a clear area between the rain complex to the north and extreme heat in the south. Only 20 minutes later that cell exploded to nearly reach maximum heights and severe thunderstorm watches were issued shortly there after.



As the afternoon Severe Thunderstorm Outlook Map was being built at that time, Saskatoon and area was added to the Moderate Risk area in orange.


Areas north east of Yorkton indicated the highest potential for severe thunderstorms by the forecast models but ended up not panning out. Later at night a strong supercell was creeping along the US/Manitoba border, helping to verify the high risk in that area. The main event ended up being between Biggar and Saskatoon late in the afternoon as tornado watches and warnings were issued between 4 and 6 pm. There was some severe sized hail and rotation indicated by radar but luckily no tornado touchdowns. The storm structure was absolutely jaw dropping. Here are a few Tweets from this event:

Monday, July 10, 2017

High Risk Verified - Monday Expected to Be A Big Day

A high risk for severe thunderstorms was issued early Sunday morning for western Alberta with a chance of tornadoes and extremely large hail.

 

 By 5pm one tornado was confirmed and reports of tennis ball sized hail were included in multiple tornado warnings throughout the evening, from Rocky Mountain House to Drumheller, Alberta.

Storm continue to maintain maximum strength late overnight and by 11:30pm cells began to quickly pop up in western Saskatchewan. Here is an image grab of echo tops radar and lightning at that time:

 
  

 A day 2 moderate risk was issues in the early afternoon and that is expected to be expanded by morning for most areas of southern Saskatchewan on Monday afternoon. Extremely large hail with damaging wind gusts and tornadoes. Link to PASPC Current Outlook



 Many storm chasers are committed to converge on the area, such as the world record holder for tornado intercepts Roger Hill and his Silver Lining tour company. Also world famous storm chaser, Reed Timmer tweeted this:
We will continue to monitor this situation closely and posts will be frequent on our Facebook page.

Thursday, July 06, 2017

Destructive Tornadic Storms - July 5, 2017

The day started off very early with morning convection just north of Regina which brought intense lightning and pea size hail to the area from 5:30am to 7am. I managed to snap a few photos and videos as it passed by.

This was as the sun rose at 5:30am looking north east from downtown Regina:





It actually began to gain strength at 6am when I started shooting this video from my deck:



After a couple hours and a report of pea size hail east of the city, it died out. Then we waited with great anticipation for what was to become the main event later in the afternoon. At 4:33pm clouds began to twirl and spin by, showing the incredible instability that was in the atmosphere mixing with extremely high CAPEs (Convective Available Potential Energy). This video was shot off my back deck (time-lapse 32x speed), facing south east:



Echo Tops radar began to show the progression of the birth of tornadic supercells at 5:50pm from Dauphin, Manitoba to Carlyle, Saskatchewan:


Within only a few minutes, what was only a few blips on radar suddenly became severe warned thunderstorms. Image from 6:20pm:


The first of many tornado warnings was issued near the radar site of Foxwarren, Manitoba:

"8:18 PM CDT Wednesday 05 July 2017
Tornado warning in effect for: Prairie View Mun. incl. Bird Tail Creek Res. R.M. of Yellowhead incl. Shoal Lake and Elphinstone Rossburn Mun. incl. Waywayseecappo Res.
.."


By 7:30pm SST (8:30 CDT or Manitoba Time) echo tops indicated a fully formed tornadic supercell covering the area along the southern Manitoba and Saskatchewan border:


By 8:24pm SST (9:24 CDT) there were 4 active tornado warnings in Manitoba and 1 in Saskatchewan. The one in Saskatchewan would prove to be the main producer on the extreme south west corner of the supercell. Greg Johnson tweeted out this photo at 8:57pm SST (9:57 CDT):



Later in the evening and the next morning reports rolled in with hail the size of baseballs and damage to a house near Alida, Saskatchewan:






Finally, Dan Lindsey and Atmospheric Scientist from NOAA/NESDIS tweeted out an incredible image from the newly launched GOES16 Satellite, dubbed as the future of weather observation and forecasting. This is the new high resolution animated satellite image of tornadic supercell over southern Manitoba and Saskatchewan:



Monday, July 03, 2017

Extreme Heat Wave - Moderate Risk

July 3, 2017 Severe Weather Outlook Map #ModerateRisk #skstorm #SlightRisk #abstorm #mbstorm Strong early morning thunderstorms in north-western Saskatchewan are expected to expand and intensify south-eastward this afternoon and evening. Very large hail up to 4cm in diameter with damaging wind gusts will be the main feature to watch. Flash flooding, very intense lightning as well as a chance of tornadoes will also be a concern to be prepared for. If tornadoes form, they may become strong with very organized right turning storm cells. Here is the outlook map and current lightning as of 9:30am:




Heat warnings continue in Alberta and are expected to expand into Saskatchewan later this week. High temperatures forecast for today:
Medicine Hat 33C
Lethbridge 30C
Swift Current 32C
Regina 32C
Saskatoon 30C
By the end of the week those temperatures will feel cool compared to what is forecast.
Saturday forecast highs:
Medicine Hat 38C
Lethbridge 36C
Swift Current 36C
Regina 34C
Saskatoon 34C


Tuesday, June 20, 2017

Facebook Plugin Added

You can now see our Facebook Page without leaving the blog. This may be useful for reading tweets in the sidebar and keeping up with discussion on Facebook during busy storm days. This is just in the development stage at the moment but a new layout and dedicated page for this may be created in the near future. For now, bookmark this page and test it out. The current layout is most ideal for viewing on large screen (TV or computer monitor). Feedback is always encouraged and most appreciated. Please use the Facebook page for all comments and suggestions. Thank you.


Friday, June 09, 2017

Early Morning Storm Front with Pink Shelf and Roll Cloud



Early Morning Shelf Cloud by Jared Mysko on 500px.com
5:04 am, June 9, 2017 - A powerful nocturnal thunderstorm arrived in Regina, bringing a pink shelf and 3 sets of roll clouds. The forecast verified and I luckily woke up just in time to chase it by mountain bike only a few blocks from home. I quickly snapped a few photos in front of the Shoppers Drug Mart and then raced down to the shores of Wascana Lake. Quickly realizing time was running out, I manages one decent photo and headed back. A few more photos and an attempted timelapse did not work out as well since it got dark fast but I did see a couple of intense CG lightning strikes right downtown. After posting photos on Twitter, the Internet took over. I made a Twitter "Moment" to recap the excitement here:

Photo prints are now available on 500px:



Videos from YouTube:



Photos:





Wascana Lake

Second Wave



Friday, June 02, 2017

Tornado at Three Hills, Alberta - June 2, 2017 - Time Lapse





Social media exploded with activity just after 5pm Alberta time today as this tornado was spotted near Three Hills, north east of Calgary. Earlier in the day, a major hail storm hit Saskatoon and most of southern Manitoba was breaking day time high temps with a growing supercell size thunderstorm that is still sweeping across that province. Storm season is fully underway now and it is expected to be a busy one with already multi-day events becoming the norm. Next big system could hit Monday in BC/Alberta and Saskatchewan on Tuesday. Stay tuned for more updates and be sure to follow us on Facebook where posts will be most frequent.

https://www.facebook.com/CanadianPrairieStorms/

Earlier today in Saskatoon via Ryan Kayseas


Sunday, May 28, 2017

Saskatchewan/Manitoba Windy Today, Monsoon For Bangladesh... [GLOBAL WIND MAPS]

It is a fairly windy day today in Saskatchewan and Manitoba and some garden type thunder showers may affect isolated areas this afternoon but nothing special.

Looking at the global wind map, the rest of North America is fairly calm. The strongest winds on Earth right now are all surrounding the continent of Antarctica, with maximum sustained winds of 89km/hr. In the Bay of Bengal, a Tropical Cyclone is forming into a Monsoon with current maximum sustained winds of 64km/hr. Landfall is expected for Bangladesh and Myanmar this week. The calmest continents on Earth right now are Africa and South America. Here are some snaps of the current wind maps around the globe as of 2pm SST for comparison.

Wednesday, May 24, 2017

Inland Cyclone Taking Shape (World Animated Wind Map)

Check out this incredible image of the "Inland Cyclone" as it begins to take shape.



See the current map with animated motion here:
Earth Wind Map

Remember to bookmark our data links page as this link and more are saved there.
Data Links

Tuesday, May 23, 2017

Inland Cyclone Hits Wednesday

Looking at the latest GFS forecast model, an area of southern Alberta between Calgary and Medicine Hat will be the focus of a major wind storm on Wednesday. Peak sustained winds of 73 knots or 135km/hr are showing up as of 0z or 6pm local time. Tree and property damage begin to occur at 80km/hr which is the criteria to issue wind warnings by Environment Canada. This will go way above and beyond that so widespread power outages and major widespread damage will occur across most of the province. A special weather statement is already in place for the region and expect warnings to be issued very early so people can prepare. To put this into perspective, 135km/hr winds would make this a category 1 hurricane but since it is on land, it is considered an "Inland Cyclone".


In the graphic above, the purple area is 135km/hr, the red covering most of southern and central Alberta is 90 to 130km/hr. The yellow, which will affect nearly every area from Alberta to Manitoba is 55 to 90km/hr sustained winds. It is expected to last a strong two to three days and weaken by Friday. Keep in mind, this is just a model estimate and strengths and locations may shift. Wind gusts will be stronger, heavy rain and a drop in temperature is also expected. Check your local forecast and read all statements and warnings closely.

Thursday, April 27, 2017

Storm Season Gets Closer - May 6th?

Long term forecast models are showing a brief heat wave across Alberta and Saskatchewan, peaking May 6th with possible high temperatures of 26C. A cold front following off the mountains seems to suggest action within the supercell composite as well in west central Alberta. Certainly no guarantees on the timing, location, or intensity but something to note. Maybe just a glimmer of hope or maybe there will be some big storm action. By the looks of the map, the heat goes very far north into both Saskatchewan and Alberta. Remember, that is May 6th, a full 9 days out.


Image via http://weather.cod.edu/forecast/

About Me

My photo

Storm & Wildlife Photographer.
NON-PROFIT Volunteer Storm Caster
Relay Of Severe Weather Alerts/Reports

Retail Marketing Team - Hudson's Bay Company

Kayaking, bird watching, fishing and wildlife photography are my summer hobbies when waiting for storms. See my adventures on YouTube!

I build a daily map of storm risk for the Canadian Prairies to accomplish two things. One, translate the complications of the meteorologists into something simple that the public can understand clearly. Two, become a buffer on social media to either raise the alarm and calm the masses depending on the level of hype.

Storm chasing is limited nowadays to a few photo ops by the lake at Wascana in Regina or up north at Pratt. Generally, I spend more time nowcasting for chasers around Saskatchewan which saves on gas and keeps me safe in my studio/bunker.

Once storm season comes to an end in August, gaming season then begins. Find me on Twitch.com/jaredmysko playing non-violent games like Forza and FIFA.

Thanks for all the likes, shares, comments and encouragement. Stay safe and enjoy the weather!

Jared